The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers. Paul Kennedy

The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers


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The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers Paul Kennedy


This book explores the politics and economics of the Great Powers from 1500 to 1980 and the reason for their decline. It then continues by forecasting the positions of China, Japan, the European Economic Community, the Soviet Union, and the United States through the end of the 20th century. Kennedy argues that the strength of a Great Power can be properly measured only relative to other powers, and he provides a straightforward and persuasively argued thesis: Great Power ascendancy (over the long term or in specific conflicts) correlates strongly to available resources and economic durability; military "over-stretch" and a concomitant relative decline are the consistent threat facing powers whose ambitions and security requirements are greater than their resource base can provide for. Throughout the book Kennedy reiterates his early statement: "Military and naval endeavors may not always have been the raison d'etre of the new nation-states, but it certainly was their most expensive and pressing activity", and it remains so until a power's decline. The book was widely received as a thinly-veiled warning that the United States is itself engaging in imperial overstretch, so that its fate is the inevitable imperial decline.  

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